Easily confused with the EUR/USD currency pair or euro forex futures, 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:eurodollars have nothing to do with Europe’s single currency that was launched in 1999. Rather, eurodollars are 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:time deposits denominated in U.S. dollars and held in banks outside of the United States. A time deposit is simply an interest-yie༒lding bank deposit with a specified date of maturity.
Since the time deposits are not inside U.S. borders, eurodollars are outside the jurisdiction of the Federal Reserve and subject to a lower level of regulation. Furthermore, since eurodollars are not subject to 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:U.S. banking regulations, the higher level of risk to investors is reflected in higher interest rates.
Key Takeaways
- Not to be confused with the euro/U.S. dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair or the euro currency, eurodollars are a type of U.S. dollar deposit held in a bank outside of the United States.
- The name eurodollars stems from the fact that the term initially referred to dollar-denominated deposits largely held in European banks, but now dollar deposits are held in a variety of banks across the globe.
- Eurodollars typically offer higher yields because they are not subject to U.S. bank regulation and therefore carry greater risk.
- Eurodollar futures trade on the trading floor and electronically on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.
History of Eurodollars
The name "eurodollar" was derived from the fact that the initial dollar-denominated deposits were largely held in European banks. At first, these deposits were known as eurobank dollars; however, U.S. dollar-denominated deposits are now held in financial centers across the globe and are still referred to as eurodollars.
Similarly (and also confusingly), the term eurocurrency is used to describe currency deposited in a bank that is not located in the home country where the currency was issued. ꧂For example, Japanese yen deposited at a bank in Brazil would be defined as eurocurrency.
After the conclusion of World War II, the quantity of U.S. dollar deposits held outside the United States experienced a substantial increase. Contributing factors included higher levels of imports to the United States and economic aid to Europe as a result of the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Marshall Plan.
The eurodollar market traces its origins to the Cold War era of the 1950s when the Soviet Union started to move its dollar-denominated revenue (derived from selling commodities like crude oil) out of U.S. banks. This was done to prevent the United States from being able to freeze its assets. Since then, eurodollars have become one of the largest 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:short-term money markets in the world and their interest rates have emerged as a benchmark for corporate funding.
Eurodollars are also used in the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:TED spread, which is used as an indicator of credit risk. The TED spread is the price difference between interest rates on three-month futures contracts for U.S. Treasuries and three-month contracts for eurodollars with the same expiration months. TED is an acronym using T-Bill and ED, the symbol for the eurodollar futures contract. An increase or decrease in the TED spread reflects sentiment on the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:default risk level of interbank loans.
Eurodollar Futures
The 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) launched the eurodollar futures contract in 1981, marking the first cash-settled futures contract. The underlying instrument in eurodollar futures is a eurodollar time deposit. The contract unit is $2,500 x contract 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:IMM index, with a three-month maturity.
On expiration, the seller of cash-settled futures contracts can transfer the associated cash position rather than making a delivery of the underlying asset. (However, most traders close futures contracts prior to the expiration through an 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:offsetting transaction to avoid delivery.)
澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Eurodollar futures were initially traded on the lower floor of 𝓀the Chicago Mercantile Exchange before moving to the exchange's largest𓄧 pit on the upper floor, which accommodated as many as 1,500 traders and clerks. The majority of eurodollar futures trading now takes place electronically.
Important
Trading eurodollar futures contracts requires an account with a brokerage firm that offers futures trading along with an initial deposit, called margin.
The open outcry eurodollar contract symbol (i.e., used on trading floors, where orders are communicated by shouts and hand signals) is ED and the electronic contract symbol is GE. Electronic trading of eurodollar futures takes place on the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:CME Globex electronic trading platform, Sunday through Friday, 5 p.m. to 5:45 p.m. CT.
The expiration months are March, June, September, and December, as with other financial futures contracts. Tick size (minimum fluctuation) is one-quarter of one basis point (0.0025 = $6.25 per contract) in the nearest expiring contract month and one-half of one basis point (0.005 = $12.50 per contract) in all other contract months.
Eurodollars have grown to be one of the leading contracts offered on the CME in terms of average daily volume and open interest (the total number of open contracts). The futures often surpass the E-Mini S&P 500 futures (an electronically traded futures contract that is 50 times the value of the S&P 500), crude oil futures, and 10-year Treasury Note futures in terms of average daily trading volume and 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:open interest.
Hedging With Eurodollar Futures
Eurodollar futures provide an effective means for companies and banks to secure an interest rate for money they plan to borrow or lend in the future. The eurodollar contract is used to hedge against 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:yield curve changes over multiple years into the future.
For example, say a company knows in September that it will need to borrow $8 million in December to make a purchase. Each eurodollar futures contract represents a $1 million time deposit with a three-month maturity. The company can hedge against an adverse move in interest rates during that three-month period by 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:short-selling eight December ওeurodollar futures contracts, representing the ꧂$8 million needed for the purchase.
Important
A change in Federal Reserve policy toward loဣwering or raising interest rates can take place over a period of years, and eurodollar futures are impacted by these major trends in monetary policy.
The price of eurodollar futures used to reflect the anticipated London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) at the time of settlement; however, LIBOR was discontinued in 2023 and eurodollar futures will be converted to LIBOR's replacement: the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR). By short-selling the December contract, the company profits from upward movement in interest rates, reflected in correspondingly lower December eurodollar futures prices.
Let’s assume that on Sept. 1, the December eurodollar futures contract price was exactly $96.00, implying an interest rate of 4.0%, and at the expiry in December, the final closing price is $95.00, reflecting a higher 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:interest rate of 5.0%. If the co🌟mpany had sold eight December eurodollar contracts at $96.00 in September, it would have profited by 100 basis points (100 x $25 = $2,500) on eight contracts, equaling $20,000 ($2,500 x 8) when it covered the short 💮position.
In this way, the company was able to offset the rise in interest r🎐ates, effectively locking in the anticipated SOFR for🌞 December as it was reflected in the price of the December eurodollar contract at the time it made the short sale in September.
Speculating With Eurodollar Futures
As an interest rate product, the policy decisions of the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:U.S. Federal Reserve have a major impact on the price of eurodollar futures. As a result, volatility in the eurodollar market is often seen around important Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements and economic releases that could influence Federal Reserve 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:monetary policy.
The long-term trending qualities of eurodollar futures make the contract an appealing choice for traders using trend-following strategies. Consider the following chart between 2000 and 2007, where the eurodollar trended upward for 15 consecutive months and later trended lower 🌱for 27 consecutive months.
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The high levels of 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:liquidity along with relatively low levels of intraday volatility (i.e., within one day) create an opportunity for traders using a “market-making” style of trading. Traders that use this non-directional strategy (neither bullish nor bearish) place orders on the bid and the offer simultaneously, attempting to capture the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:bid-ask spread. More sophisticated strategies, such as arbitrage and spr✨eading against other contracts, are also used by traders in the eurodollar futures market.
Conversely, from 2006 to 2009, eurodollars trended upward. They then remained fairly flat till 2016, where they began to trend downward till the end of 2018, where they began to trend upward again until they started to drop in early 2022 and continued their decline throughout 2023.
Are Eurodollars Riskier Investments for Retail Investors?
Yes. Since eurodollars are held outside the United States, they are 🀅not subject to U.S. regulation. This makes them riskier investments, but ones with the upside of potentially higher interest rates as well.
How Much Is a Eurodollar Basis Point?
A single basis point is worth $25 per contract. If a contract changes by three basis points, the trader would either gain or lose $75.
What Replaced Eurodollar Futures?
Eurodollar futures have not been replaced, they are still offered by the CME; however,🍃 eurodollars no longer reference the London Interbank Offering Rate (LIBOR), as LIBOR has ceased to exist. Eurodollar ꧂futures now reference the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR).
The Bottom Line
Eurodollars are often overlooked by retail traders who tend to gravitate toward futures contracts that offer more short-term volatility, such as the E-m🍌ini S&P or crude oil. However, the deep level of liquidity and long-term trending 🐈qualities of the eurodollar market present interesting opportunities for small and large futures traders alike.