When storm clouds gather over the economy, savvy investors look for safety within time-♐tested shelters: recession-resistant exchange-traded funds (ETFs). While luxury retailers and travel companies often struggle during economic downturns, companies selling toothpaste, electricity, and bandages tend to stay profitable.
Even in the toughest times, people still need to brush their teeth, keep their homes powered, and take care of their health. That's why certain sectors have historically shown remarkable resilience during economic slumps. These "defensive sectors" include healthcare, utilities, consumer staples (everyday household items), and certain technology companies. The six ETFs below hold the kinds of stocks that can weather a coming economic storm.
Key Takeaways
- Defensive sector exchange-traded funds (ETFs) offer exposure to companies that tend to maintain steady revenues during economic downturns by focusing on essential goods and services.
- Consumer staples and healthcare ETFs typically show resilience because people continue buying necessities and seeking medical care, regardless of the economic conditions.
- Low expense ratios (under 0.50%) and high trading volume make many defensive ETFs cost-effective tools for portfolio protection.
- Dividend-focused ETFs containing companies with long histories of increasing payments can provide both defensive positioning and income during market stress.
- Companies in defensive ETFs also often have strong balance sheets and stable cash flows, which helps them weather economic turbulence better than more cyclical businesses.
1. The Consumer Staples Select 🎐Secto﷽r SPDR ETF (XLP)
XLP tracks the performance of the Consumer Staples Select Sector Index. This ETF invests in companies that profit when you buy the items in your shopping cart that you simply can't do without —toilet paper, soap, toothpaste, and essential food items.
During tough economic times, people might skip buying a new car or taking a vacation, but they'll keep buying these everyday necessities from brands like Procter & Gamble (PG) (makers of Tide detergent and Pampers diapers) and Walmart Inc. (WMT). These companies have cu🃏ltivated strong customer loyalty over decades, meaning shoppers are less likely to switch brands꧑ despite tight budgets.
This brand power gives the companies in XLP an edge, allowing them to raise prices without significantly impacting demand, a key factor in maintaining profitability during inflationary recessions. Companies like Procter & Gamble and Walmart tend to have steady sales even when the economy stumbles, making thiꦇs ETF a potential safe harbor. These firms are among the fund's largest holdings, as found below:
Important
The U.S. doesn't even need to be in an official recession for consumers to shift to shopping as if one were on. In 2022 and 2023, retailers shifted to their "recession playbook" to lure in consumers whose behavior was more akin to recessions than the economic data might otherwise have suggested.
2. The iShares US Healthcare Providers (IHF)
Healthcare isn't optional—people need medical care regardless of economic conditions. This ETF focuses on companies that manage and provide healthcare services, like UnitedHealth Group (UNH) and Cigna Corp. (CI), tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Select Health Care Providers Index.
Since most people maintain their health insurance through economic downturns (either through employers or government programs), these companies typically see stable revenue streams. Plus, with the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Baby Boomers aging, the demand for healthcare services is only expected to increase in the coming years, making IHF a potentially strong long-term investment, regardless of short-term econ🐼omic fluctuatio๊ns.
澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:3. Vanguard ಞDividend Appreciation ETF (VIG)
This ETF is a collection of the market's most reliable dividend payers—companies that have not just paid dividends but increased them for at least 10 straight years. These tend to be established companies with strong financial foundations and steady cash flows, like Microsoft Corp. (MSFT), Apple Inc. (AAPL), and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO).
In addition, many within VIG are considered "澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:dividend aristocrats," an elite group of companies with at least 25 consecuꦯtive years of dividend increases. T🦩his impressive track record demonstrates their ability to reward shareholders even during challenging economic times. The ETF is particularly attractive for investors seeking both defensive positioning and regular income.
Tip
While consume𝔍r staples are resilient during downturns, their defensive natu🔥re often leads to underperformance during strong economic recoveries when discretionary spending rises.
4. The Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU)
Utilities are about as recession-resistant as it gets—people need electricity, water, and gas, regardless of the economic conditions. This ETF tracks the Utilities Select Sector Index, which means it invests in companies that provide essential services, like NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE), The Southern Company (SO), and Duke Energy Corp. (DUK).
XLU offers investors a piece of this steady, reliable sector. Since utilities operate as regulated monopolies in their service areas, they typically have very predictable revenue streams. While they might not offer explosive growth during good times, they tend to provide stable returns and attractive dividends even during market downturns.
In addition, when anticipating a recession, utility companies commonly deploy strategies to cut costs by reducing operating expenses and improving capital efficiency.
♛澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:5. The Inve🐬sco Food & Beverage ETF (PBJ)
Everyone needs to eat, regardless of economic conditions. This ETF tracks the Dynamic Food & Beverage Inte🃏llidex Index, which means it focuses on companies that produce, distribute, and sell food and beverages—essentially, the basics of your grocery list.
While a recession might mean fewer dinners out, people still need to buy groceries. Companies like Kroger Company (KR), Kraft Heinz Co (KHC), and Constellation Brands Inc (STZ) typically maintain relatively stable sales, even as many consumers switch to cheaper brands. Think of the brands you reach for when stocking your pantry—from Kraft mac and cheese to Pepsi, many are likely held within PBJ. They also tend to pay solid dividends, providing an extra cushion during tough times.
澳洲幸运5官ও方开奖结果体彩网:6. The Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (👍VDC)
VDC tracks the performance of the MSCI US Investable Market Index/Consumer Staples 25/50. This index includes a diverse set of companies in the consumer staples sector, with limits on the ཧweighting of individual securities to ensure diversification, reflecting the performance of a key segment of the U.S. economy.
This means the fund offers broader exposure to companies that make and sell essential consumer products than some other options. It includes manufacturers like Procter & Gamble, retailers like Walmart, Target Corp. (TGT), and Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST), and classic brands like Coca-Cola Company (KO).
These companies benefit from a simple truth: people need basic household items and groceries in any economic environment. During recessions, discount retailers like Walmart and Costco often see increased traffic as consumers become more price-conscious, potentially boosting their revenues while other sectors struggle. These companies also do well during more vibrant times. For example, Walmart and Costco rank in the top five of the National Retail Federation survey for 2024.
How Do Defensive ETFs Differ From Regular ETFs?
Defensive ETFs focus on sectors and companies that provide essential goods and services, like healthcare, utilities, and basic consumer products. Unlike ETFs tracking broader markets or growth sectors, defensive ETFs target businesses that typically maintain steady revenues during economic downturns.
What Signs Should Investors Watch For When Considering Defensive ETFs?
Several economic indicators might signal it's time to consider defensive ETFs, including rising 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:unemployment rates, declining consumer confidence, inverted yield curves, and falling gross domestic product growth. However, rather than trying to time the market perfectly, many investor🧜s maintain a portion of their portfolio in defensive sectors as a long-term strategy.
How Do Government Policies Combat Recessionary Periods?
During a recession, the government may lower tax rates or increase spending to encourage demand and spur economic activity using expansionary 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:fiscal policy.
Which Sectors Are Most Affected by a Recession?
Sectors and their stocks most affected by an economic downturn include airlines, automobile manufacturers, and hotels.
How Much of a Portfolio Should Be Allocated to Defensive ETFs?
The appropriate allocation varies based on individual factors, including age, risk tolerance, and investment goals. Financial advisors often suggest anywhere from 10% to 25% of an equity portfolio be allocated to defensive sectors, with older or more 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:conservative investors typically taking larger defensive positions.
The Bottom Line
While no investment is entirely recession-proof, specific sectors have historically demonstrated resilience during economic downturns. 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Defensive ETFs focused on healthcare, utilities, consumer staples, and companies with strong divide♑nd histories offer investors a way to potentially protect their portfolios when markets turn volatile. These funds provide exposure to companies selling essential products and services that people need—from electricity and healthcare to toothpaste anꦦd groceries.
With expense ratios generally under 0.50%, these ETFs offer a cost-effective way to add defensive positioning to your investment strategy. However, as with any investment decision, investors should consider their financial goals, risk tolerance, and existing portfolio composition before investing.