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OPEC Maintains Oil-Demand Growth Forecasts Amid Tariff Uncertainty

The logo for the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries on a blue barrel

Andrey Rudakov / Bloomberg / Getty Images

Key Takeaways

  • The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said Wednesday that it is maintaining its oil production and economic growth outlook for 2025 and 2026.
  • The cartel said it expects oil demand to grow by 1.4 million barrels a day this year and in 2026, and that it plans to increase production starting next month.
  • Uncertainty arising from the Trump administration's tariff plans will "contribute to volatility," but OPEC said it expects the world economy to adjust.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exportinﷺg Countries (OPEC) on Wednesday affirmed its growth outlook for oil demand and overall 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:economic growth over the next two years.

The cartel said that it is maintaining its demand growth projection of 1.4 million barrels per day for 2025 and 2026, and said it expects the global economy to grow by 3.1% this year and 3.2% next year. The group said it has seen strong demand from the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:air travel and automotive industries.

Earlier this month, OPEC said its member countries agreed to proceed with their plan to 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:increase oil production starting April 1, eventually looking to lift production by 2.2 million barrels per day.

Global Economy 'Expected to Adjust' to Tariffs, Trade Disputes

"This forecast remains unchanged from the previous [Monthly Oil Market Report] despite trade challenges and potential developments in geopolitical dynamics," OPEC said in its monthly report for March. "Trade concerns are expected to contribute to volatility as 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:trade policies continue to be unveiled. However, the global econ🅷omy is expec🧸ted to adjust."

The group said it is monitoring the impact of the Trump administration's various tariff proposals on the global economy.

"[I]t remains to be seen how and to what extent potential tariffs and other policy measures will play out," the report said. "So far, they are not anticipated to materially impact current underlying growth assumptions, but the outcome of potentially further rising uncertainties and the scope and significance of potential tariffs anඣd other policy meꦓasures will need close monitoring."

The group predicted that the industrial sector in the U.S., Mexico, and Canada will likely "face major challenges adjusting to tariffs," with "potentially significant" negative effects in the short term. The uncertainty that the tariff situation has created could also negatively affect 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:consumer spending, according to OPEC.

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