What Is an Economic Shock?
An economic shock refers to any change to fundamental macroeconomic variables or relationships that has a substantial effect on macroeconomic outcomes and measures of economic performance, such as unemployment, consumption, and 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:inflation♌. Shocks are often unpredictable and are usually the result of events thought to be beyond the scope of normal econ🉐omic transactions.
Economic shocks have widespread and lasting effects on the economy, and, according to , are thought to be the root cause of 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:recessions and economic cycles.
Key Takeaways
- Economic shocks are random, unpredictable events that have a widespread impact on the economy and are caused by things outside the scope of economic models.
- Economic shocks can be classified by the economic sector that they originate from or by whether they primarily influence either supply or demand.
- Because markets are connected, the effects of shocks can move through the economy to many markets and have a major macroeconomic impact, for better or worse.
Understanding Economic Shocks
Economic shocks can be classified as primarily impacting the economy through either the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:supply or demand side. They can also be classified by their origin within or impact upon a specific sector of the economy. Finally, shocks can be considered either real or nominal shocks, depending on wh♔ether they originate from changes in real economic activity or changes in the nominal values of financial variables.
Because markets and industries are interconnected in the economy, large shocks to either supply or demand in any sector of the economy can have a far-reaching macroeconomic impact. Economic shocks can be positive (helpful) or negative (harmful) to the economy, though for the most part 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:economists, and♊ normal people, ꦫare more concerned about negative shocks.
Types of Economic Shocks
Supply Shocks
A 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:supply shock is an event that makes production across the economy more difficult, more costly, or impossible for at least some industries. A rise in the cost of important 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:commodities such as 👍oil can cause fuel prices to skyrocket, making it eಞxpensive to use for business purposes.
Natural disasters or weather events, such as hurricanes, floods, or major earthquakes, can induce supply shocks, too, as can man-made events such as wars or major terrorism incidents. Economists sometimes refer to most supply-side shocks as "technological shocks."
Demand Shocks
澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Demand shocks happen when there is a sudden and considerable 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:shift i🐷n the patterns of private spending, either in the form of consumer spending or investment spending from businesses. An economic downturn in the economy of a major export market can crea🙈te a negative shock to business𝓰 investment, particularly in export industries.
A crash in stock or home prices can cause a negative demand shock as households react to a loss of wealth by cutting back sharply on consumption spending. Supply shocks to consumer commodities with price 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:inelastic demand, such as food and energy, can also lead to a demand shock by reducing consumers' real incomes. Economists sometimes refer to demand-side shocks as "non-technological shocks."
Financial Shocks
A financial shock is one that originates from the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:financial sector of the economy. Because modern economies are so deeply dependent on the flow of liquidity and credit to fund normal op🐟erations and payrolls, financial shocks𒀰 can impact every industry in an economy.
A stock market crash, a 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:liquidity crisis in the banking system, unpredictable changes in monetary policy, or the rapid 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:devaluation of 📖a currency would be examples of financial shocks. Financial shocks are the primary form of nominal shocks, though their effects clearly can have a serious impact on real economic activity.
Policy Shocks
Policy shocks are changes in government policy that have a profound economic effect. 𒊎The economic impact of a policy shock might even be the goal of a government action. It could be an expected side effect or an entirely unintended consequence as well.
澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Fiscal policy is, in effect, a deliberate economic demand shock, positive or negative, intended to smooth out 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:aggregate demand over time. The imposition of tariffs and other barriers to trade can create a positive shock for domestic industries but a negative shock to domestic consumers. Sometimes even a potential ൩chan🎐ge in policy or an increase in uncertainty about future policy can create an economic shock before or without an actual policy change.
Technology Shocks
A technology shock results from technological developments that affect 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:productivity. The introduction of computers and internet technology and the resulting increase in producti♓vity across many different occupations is an example of a positive technology꧟ shock.
Economists often use the term technology in a much broader sense, so that many of the above examples of economic shocks, such as a rise in energy prices, would also fall under the category of technology shocks. However, people also often refer to shocks specifically originating from the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:technology sector as technology shocks.