澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网

The One Trait Warren Buffett's Mentor Says Almost Always Leads Investors to Financial Disaster

Scott McFarlane, chief executive officer of Avalara Inc., center, cheers during the company's initial public offering (IPO) on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., on Friday, June 15, 2018.

Michael Nagle/Getty Images

A crucial lesson from Benjamin Graham—the legendary investor who was a dear mentor to Warren Buffett—involves how different investing is from the other things we do: The very trait that drives succes🅰s in most areas of life can destroy your financial future.

"While enthusiasm may be necessary for great accomplishments elsewhere, on Wall Street it almost invariably leads to disaster," Graham warned in his classic book, "Security Analysis: Principles and Technique." This counterintuitive insight from the man who shaped 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Buffett's investment philosophy explains why even brilliant investors often fall prey to market bubbles and emotional decision-making.

Key Takeaways

  • Market enthusiasm creates psychological biases that override rational analysis, leading investors to ignore the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:fundamentals of assets they're investing in.
  • Even the savviest traders have taken on massive losses when swept up in investment excitement.

Curbing Your Enthusiasm

In his "澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:The Intelligent Investor," 𒈔Graham wrote that Wall Street transforms enthusiasm into a liability even t💫hough it fosters success in other fields.

Market enthusiasm, he argues, functions like "an artificial stimulant" that makes investments seem more attractive, as outsized valuations might be validated by other investors and the fear of missing out (FOMO). When investors see others profiting from trending investments, rational analysis is often pushed aside by 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:fear, greed, and, yes, enthusiasm.

This psychological vulnerability affects nearly everyone. As markets rise, enthusiasm creates a self-reinforcing cycle: price increases supposedly confirm existing enthusiasm, drawing more participants, further driving prices upward as herding behavior takes hold—until the inevitab💫le c𝕴ollapse.

Research in 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:behavioral finance shows that during these periods, investors systematically overestimate their ability to sell off without losing too much while underestimating their risks.

Graham noted that even brilliant minds—he references Isaac Newton, who lost a fortune in the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:South Sea Bubble—can fall prey to 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:irrational exuberance.

Tip

Sticking to preset investment rules and enterta🥂ining contrarian views can help you avoid enthusiasm-drivenꦏ mistakes.

Fairy Tales and Failing Scales

Central to Graham's work was his claim that enthusiasm causes investors to lose sight of what's most important to him and Buffett: the actual value of a stock. As the bulls run on the stock market, conversations shift from fundamentals. 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Price-to-earnings ratios may soar, say, from 15 to 50 or more, 🃏as overenthusiastic investors justify these valuations with 🤪tales about exponential growth or revolutionary business models.

When pressed on valuations, enthusiastic investors often respond with some version of "this time is different" or "traditional metrics don't apply here." Investors stop being analysts and become trend followers, often with disastrous consequences when fundamentals do reassert themselves.

Echoing Graham, Buffett once told Berkshire Hathaway Inc.'s (BRK.A) shareholders about the perils of moments: "The line separating 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:investment and speculation, which is never bright and clear, becomes blurred still further when most market participants have recently enjoyed triumphs. Nothing sedates rationality like large doses of effortless money."

Defense Mechanisms

Her🔜e are some safeguards that can help d🏅uring market run-ups:

  • Put in some guardrails: Set specific objective criteria for buying and selling that must be followed, no matter how the market or investor sentiment shifts. This might include maximum valuation thresholds based on financial models or automatic 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:profit-taking rules.
  • Record your trades: This goes beyond just listing your trades—your brokerage will have that anyway—to recording why you made them.
  • Cultivate skepticism and澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网: contrarian thinking. While not every trendy investment is bad, ready yourself to be especially cautious when ideas become hot topics at social gatherings or dominate social media. As Buffett often repeats, "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

The Bottom Line

"The market is not a weighing machine" where price tells you exactly the value of something, Graham wrote. "Rather, should we say that the market is a voting machine," reflecting a mix of reason and emotion. Indeed, few saw the dot-com or housing 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:bubbles bursting—until they did.

For both Buffett and Graham, what's central to successful investing isn't a superior intelligence but the ability to resist the enthusiasm that's so often destructive of portfolios.

Article Sources
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  1. Benjamin Graham. "," Page 288. McGraw-Hill, 2023.

  2. Benjamin Graham. "," Page 28. McGraw-Hill, 2023.

  3. Argan, Meti, et al. "." Journal of East-West Business, vol. 29, no. 1, 2023, pp. 69-96.

  4. Shiller, Robert. J. "." CFA Institute conference proceedings quarterly, vol. 23, no. 3, 2015, pp. 16-25.

  5. Berkshire Hathaway Inc. ""

  6. Berkshire Hathaway Inc. "."

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