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Macroeconomic Indicators That Affect the US Stock Market

An individual company’s profit, revenue, and debt load aren't the only things driving its stock price. In fact, a number of 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:economic indicators drive broader market sentiment, which in turn affects individual stock prices to ♔varying degrees. You don't need an economics degree to understand how major indicators influence the market and yo𓂃ur portfolio. We'll walk you through some of the biggest indicators below.

Macroeconomic Indicators That Affect the U.S. Stock Market

Investopedia / Julie Bang

Gross Domestic Product

The most comprehensive economic indicator is 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:gross domestic product (GDP), which measures the value of all goods and services produced in a country during a specific time period. As such, GDP provides a ba♛sic measure of growth or contraction in an economy, making it a general gauge of economic health.

Naturally, this measurement has an effect on the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:stock market because a stock's price generally reflects expectations of a company's future profitability. When an econ𒉰omy is healthy and growing, businesses are more likely to report better earnings and growth, and vice versa.

Unemployment Rate and Jobs Report

Two key measures of employment also affect stocks. One is the unemployment rate. Like GDP, the unemployment rate reflects strength or weakness in the economy. The monthly jobs report by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics can show that hiring is picking up or slowing down, both of which can be useful in predicting 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:future levels of economic activity.

Investors follow these numbers closely. Essentially, more people with jobs equates to higher retail sales, economic output, and 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:corporate profits.

The Consumer Price and Produce Price Indexes

Inflation is also closely watched by investors. Both the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Consumer Price Index (CPI) and 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Producer Price Index (PPI) measure price changes in a range of goods and services. These are important because rising inflation—that is, higher prices—can hurt consumer spending, which makes up more than two-thirds of the GDP, and cause the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to control price gains.

Higher rate🅘s tend to cool economic activity and have squelched many stock rallies. Falling inflation and resulting interest rate cuts can have the opposite effect, igniting stock rallies.

Retail Sales

A more direct measure of the health of consumers is 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:retail sales. Any extended drop-off in retail spending could be taken as a sign of a downturn in the economy, affecting business profits and hiring. An upswing, of course, can be taken as bullish, giving ജinvestors reason to push stock prices higher.

Industrial Output

While not as important as it once was, 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:industrial production is still a key indicator for the health of the economy. Released by the Federal Reserve, the Industrial Production Index (IPI) provides a snapshot of the health of the nation's factories. The results can be volatile, so policymakers and investors look for confirmation of a downturn or upswing over multiple months.

The Bottom Line

There are far more influenc🌞es on stock prices than company earnings reports. The smart investor knows to keep an eye on all key economic indicators that can signal a change in the markets.

Article Sources
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  1. International Monetary Fund. "."

  2. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. "."

  3. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. "."

  4. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. "."

  5. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. "."

  6. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. "."

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