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How to Profit From Inflation

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Inflation

Inflation can make investing challenging if you're not prepared for it, but several investments tend to fare well during periods of rising inflation. Commodities, inflation-indexed bonds, Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), and consumer staples are all investments that maintain value and generate returns throughout economic fluctuations.

You can also invest in real estate, mortgage-backed securities, and collateralized debt obligations through exchange-traded funds, but these are risky investments.

Key Takeaways

  • Several asset classes perform well in inflationary environments.
  • Tangible assets, like real estate and commodities, have historically been seen as inflation hedges.
  • Some specialized securities can maintain a portfolio's buying power, including certain sector stocks, inflation-indexed bonds, and securitized debt.
  • Inflation-sensitive investments are accessed in various ways as both direct and indirect investments.
How to Profit From Inflation: Investment Options

Investopedia / Jessica Olah

How Is Inflation Measured?

Inflation is a measurement of the change in prices of goods and services. It is expressed as a rate in percentage form and indicates how much prices have changed from the last꧒ time it was measured. It may seem counterintuitive to promote inflation, but a moderate inflation rate is good for an economy because it promotes growth, lending, and borrowing.

The U.S. Federal Reserve targets a 2% average inflation rate over time as most consistent with its dual mandate in promoting price stability and maximum employment. Several agencꦬies specifically choose the prices of goods, services, and influencing factor✃s to measure the inflation rate.

Inflation Indicators

The most common economic measurements used to gauge inflation are the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Consumer Price Index (CPI), the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Producer Price Index (PPI), and the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖💞结果体彩网:Personal Consumption Expenditures P𓆏rice Index:

  • The CPI measures the weighted average urban consumers pay for a standardized market basket of goods and services. It is reported monthly by the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
  • The PPI is a weighted average of prices realized by domestic producers. It includes prices from the first commercial transaction for many products and some services. It is also reported monthly by the BLS.
  • The PCE Price Index is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. The PCE is a broader measure than the CPI and is weighted based on consumption measures used to derive the gross domestic product rather than on a household spending survey as the CPI. It is released monthly by the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce.

All three of these indices provide an alternative "core" reading, excluding the more volatile food and energy prices. Another alternative inflation measure is the Trimmed Mean PCE Price Index from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, which excludes spending categories with the most extreme price moves in either direction from each monthly calculation.

Investable Assets for Inflation

While inflation's effects on the economy and asset values can be unpredictable, history and economics offer some rules of thumb.

Inflation is most damaging to the value of fixed-rate debt securities because it devalues interest rate payments as well repayments of principal. If the inflation rate exceeds the interest rate, lenders are, in effect, losing money after adjusting for inflation. This is why investors sometimes focus on the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:real interest rate, derived by subtracting the inflation rate from the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:nominal interest rate.

Fast Fact

Longer-term fixed-rate debt is 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:more vulnerable to inflation than short-term debt. The effec💞t of inflation on the value of future repayments is ജcorrespondingly greater and compounds over time.

The assets that fare best under inflation are those assured of bringing in more cash or rising value as inflation increases. Examples😼 would include a rental property subject to periodic increases in rent or an energy pipeline charging rates🀅 tied to inflation.

Real Estate

Real estate is a popular choice because it becomes a more useful and popular 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:store of value amid inflation while generating increased rental income.

Investors can buy real estate directly or invest in it by purchasing shares of a 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:real estate investment trust (REIT) or specialized fund.

Real estate fared particularly well during an outbreak of persistent inflation during the 1970s. But real estate is also 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:vulnerable to rising in🐷terest rates and financial crises, as seen in 2007-2008.

Commodities

When inflation picks up, investors often turn to tangible assets💫 that are likely to rise in value.

For centuries, the leading haven🦄 has been gold—and, to a lesser extent, other precious metals—causing prices to rise as inflation rises. Gold can be purchased directly from a bullion or coin dealer or indirectly by investing in a mutual or exchange-traded fund (ETF) that owns gold. Investors can also get exposure to a commodity by purchasing shares of the companies that produced it directly, or indirectly through an ETF or specialized mutual fund.

Important

Many investments have been historically viewed as hedges—or protection—against inflation. These include real estate, commodities, and cert꧅ain types of stocks and bonds.

Commodities include raw materials and agricultural products like oil, copper, cotton, soybeans, and orange juice. Commodity prices tend to rise alongside the prices of finis𝄹hed products made from those commodities in inflationary environments.

For example, higher crude prices elevate the price of gasoline and transportation. Sophisticated investors can trade commodities futures or the shares of producers. On the other hand, exchange-traded funds investing in commodity futures will tend to underperform the price of a rising commodity because their futures positions must be rolled as they expire.

Bonds

Investing in bonds may seem counterintuitive as inflation is typically harmful to fixed-rate debt. That's not the case for 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:inflation-indexed bonds, which offer a variable interest rate tied to the inflation rate. In the United States, 澳洲幸运♒5官ℱ方开奖结果体彩网:Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are a popular option, pegged to the Consumer Price Index.

When the CPI rises, so does the value of a TIPS investment. Not only does the base value increas༺e, but since the interest paid is based on the base value, the interest payments increase with the base value increase. Other varieties of inflation-indexed bonds are also available, including those issued by other countries.

Inflation-indexed bonds can be accessed in a variety of ways. Direct investment in TIPS, for instance, can be made through the U.S. Treasury or a brokerage account. They are also held in some mutual funds and exchange-traded funds. For a more aggressive play, consider junk bonds. High-yield debt—as it's officially known—tends to gain in value when inflation rises, as investors turn to the higher returns offered by this riskier-than-average fixed-income investment.

Stocks

Stocks have a reasonable chance of keeping pace with inflation—but when it comes to doing so, not all equities are created equal. For example, high-dividend-paying stocks tend to get hammered like fixed-rate bonds in inflationary times. Investors should focus on companies that can pass their rising input costs to customers, su♏ch as those in the consumer staples sector.

Loans/Debt Obligations

澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Leveraged loans are potential inflation hedges as well. They are a floating-rate instrument, meaning the banks or other lenders can raise ꦕthe interest rate charged so that ꧑the return on investment (ROI) keeps pace with inflation.

Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and collatera🌟lized debt obligations (CDOs)—structured pools of mortgages and consumer loans—respectively, are also an option. Investors do not🦹 own the debts themselves but invest in securities whose underlying assets are the loans.

MBS, CDOs, and leveraged loans are sophisticated, somewhat risky (depending on their rating) instruments,🦂 often requiring fairly large minimum investments. For most retail investors, the feasible course is to buy a mutual fu🌱nd or ETF that specializes in these income-generating products.

Pros and Cons of Investing During Inflation

There are pros and cons to every type of investment or hedge. The primary benefit of investing during inflation is to preserve your portfolio's value. The second reason is that you want to keep your nest egg growing, even if it's at a slower rate.

Accepting inflation as a necessary condition of a growing economy—and thus investing gains—can lead you to 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:diversify your holdings to account for times when one assetꦏ ty꧟pe loses value and another gains it.

Spreading the risk across various holdings is a time-honored method of portf꧒olio construction that is as applicable to inflation-fighting stra🔜tegies as it is to asset-growth strategies.

Pros
  • You preserve your portfolio value

  • Forces you to diversify holdings for preservation

  • Maintains your income's buying power

Cons
  • Increases your exposure to risk

  • Can divert you from your long-term goals

  • Your portfolio may be𒈔come overweight in some classes when you diversify

What Are the Worst Things to Invest in During Inflation?

Some of the worst investments during high inflation are retail, technology, and durable goods because spending in the♔se areas tends꧂ to drop.

Where Should I Put My Money When Inflation Is High?

Commodities, inflation-protected securities, and funds derived from them are traditional 🎉hedges against inflation.

How Can I Protect My Money From High Inflation?

One ༒of the most widely accepted ways to maintain value is to have a widely diversified portfolio where comm🅠odities, bonds, and inflation-protected investments balance out losses from stocks or other assets that lose value during rising inflation.

The Bottom Line

There is an old saying, "The inflation tail should never wag the investment dog." This still rings true because changing strategies and reallocating during times of high inflation can cause more losses than if you weather the inflation storm.

Set your investing goals and timetables for your investment plan, diversify, and don't swerve. And remember, there are no guarantees when you're investing. Traditional inflation hedges don't always work, and unique economic conditions sometimes deliver excellent results to surprising assets.

Article Sources
Investopedia requires writers to use primary sources to support their work. These include white papers, government data, original reporting, and interviews with industry experts. We also reference original research from other reputable publishers where appropriate. You can learn more about the standards we follow in producing accurate, unbiased content in our editorial policy.
  1. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. "."

  2. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. ""

  3. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. "."

  4. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. "."

  5. Bureau of Economic Analysis. "."

  6. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. "."

  7. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. "."

  8. National Bureau of Economic Research. "," Page 2.

  9. TreasuryDirect. "."

  10. Federal Reserve Board. "," Page 5.

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