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Top U.S. Housing Market Indicators

Residential housing market activity contributes about 5% of the U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) each year. Whether you are an investor or a potential home buyer, there are certain key economic indicators that you'll want to watch over time to get a sense of the state of the market.

Key Takeaways

  • The latest numbers on new construction, sales, and prices are all important indicators of the state of the residential housing market.
  • The reports also offer insight into the overall health of the U.S. economy.
  • If you're a potential home buyer, zero in on the state-level and regional reports for the most relevant numbers.

Construction Spending

The U.S. Census Bureau puts out a monthly report on new domestic construction spending activity, by dollar value. The report breaks oꦅut residential and nonresidential spending as well as private and public spending. It covers new construction and improvements to existing structures in both the private🤪 and public sectors.

The previous month’s activity and the previous year’s activity for the same month are available for comparison purposes.

The bureau has been do🐠in♓g this survey for more than 50 years.

Residential Construction

Another U.S. government report on new residential construction, or 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:housing starts, focuses on residential construction activity nationwide by adding up the number of new permits issued and houses that builders have just started to work on.

There is a regional breakdown of th🍸e activity, as well as figures for the previous month’s and year’s activity.

Home Sales

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) provides an existing home sales report on the number of existing homes sold every month, as well as previous month and previous year input, for single-family houses, condos, and co-ops.

This report, based on actual home sale closings, also gives insight into inventory, prices, and 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:regional sales performance.

State-Level Home Sales Reports

Various realtor groups in states with significant housing activity, such as California, Florida, Illinois, and Texas, put out periodic reports on sales activity and home prices in their respective✨ states. These reports provide a more nuanced local-level market feel.

New Home Sales

A government report on new residential sales provides input on the number of new homes sold nationwide, based on sales contracts signed. It looks at the sales broken down by region and by various price points, such as sales under $150,000 and higher than $750,000.

Also๊, it looks at the inventory of new houses for sale and the median and average prices of houses sold.

Pending Sales

The National Association of Realtors produces a pending home sales index monthly report based on the number of purchase contracts signed by buyers of existing homes.

The report also gives a regional breakdown of pending sales activity and compares it to aꩵctivity in the previous month and year.

The pending sales report gives a sense of the level of sales closin🐭gs to e🍎xpect in the next month or so.

NAHB’s Housing Market Index

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) puts out a monthly NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index that looks at the level of confidence that builders have in the single-family housing market.

By taking a monthly🐻 survey, the NAHB gets input on how home builders feel about the current level of sales and buyer traffic, as well as their sales expectations for the upcoming six months. 

The index provides regional input for th꧑e Northeast, 𓄧Midwest, South, and West regions. 

Regional Price Indices

Several price indices provide valuable hints about buyer interest and general housi🐻ng market optimism.

  • Standard & Poor’s puts out its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index looks at the national trend as well as prices in major metropolitan areas.
  • The Federal Housing Finance Agency’s House Price Index tracks single-family home prices with input from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
  • CoreLogic, Inc. issues a home price index that looks at nationwide prices and measures the impact of distressed sales.

Will 2024 Be a Good Time to Buy a Home?

We can expect mortgage rates to continue to come down a bit in 2024. according to an February 2024 analysis by Experian. We also can expect inventory and home sales to increase. Prices can be expected to continue to rise in most regions but at a somewhat slower pace.

What Are the Most Important Housing Indicators for a Home Buyer?

If you're a prospective home buyer, you'll probably want to keep a close eye on prices in your region. It's a big country, and national sales numbers won't tell you much about local conditions.

What Are the Most Important Housing Indicators for a Real Estate Investor?

Investors may be more interested in forward-looking numbers than the current status of the industry𒁃. The NAHB Housing Market Index, for example, asks builders to look ahead to conditions six months ahead.

Investors also watch trends closely. The New Residential Construction report from the U.S. Census Bureau, for example, is most useful ꦯwhen tracked over time ಌto spot gradual changes in the trend.

The Bottom Line

Whether you're considering buying or selling a home or investing in real estate, these key economic indicators are worth keeping an eye on. They'll give you a sense of the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩♋网:cu👍rrent state of the housing market in the U.S., and its likely direction in the months ahead.

Warning

Mortgage lending discrimination is illegal. 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:If you think you've been discri𒀰minated against based on race, religion, sex, marital status, use of public assistance, national origin, disability, or age, there are steps you can take. One such step is to file a report to the or⛄ with the (HUD).

Article Sources
Investopedia requires writers to use primary sources to support their work. These include white papers, government data, original reporting, and interviews with industry experts. We also reference original research from other reputable publishers where appropriate. You can learn more about the standards we follow in producing accurate, unbiased content in our editorial policy.
  1. National Association of Home Builders. "."

  2. U.S. Census. "."

  3. U.S. Census. "."

  4. National Association of Realtors. "."

  5. U.S. Census. "."

  6. National Association of Realtors. "."

  7. National Association of Home Builders. "."

  8. S&P Dow Jones Indices. "."

  9. Federal Housing Finance Agency. "."

  10. CoreLogic. "."

  11. Experian. "."

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