How Do I Calculate Stock Value Using the Gordon Growꦕth Model in Excel?
The Gordon growth model (GGM), or the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:dividend discount model (DDM), is a model used to calculate the intrinsic value of a stock based on the present valueಌ of future dividends that grꦇow at a constant rate.
The model assumes a company exists forever and pays dividends that increase at a constant rate. It has 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:♏advantages as well as disadvantages.
To estimate the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:value of a stock, the model takes the infinite series of dividends per share and discounts them back into the present using the required rate of return. The result is a simple formula, which is based on the mathematical properties of an infinite series of numbers growing at a constant rate.
Key Takeaways
- The Gordon growth model calculates a stock's intrinsic value.
- The model bases the intrinsic value of stocks on the present value of future dividends that grow at a constant rate.
- Doing the calculation in Excel is simple, as you enter only five numbers into Excel cells.
- The Gordon growth model is also known as the dividend discount model (DDM).
Understanding the Gordon Growth Model
The 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:intrinsic value of a stock can be foun✱d using the formula (which is based ♚on mathematical properties of an infinite series of numbers growing at a constant rate):
Intrinsic value of stock = D1 / (k - g)
D1 is the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:dividend per share one year from now, k is the investor's required rate of return, and g is the expected 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:dividend growth rate.
How to Calculate Intrinsic Value Using Excel
Using the Gordon growth model to find 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:intrinsic value is fairly simple to calculate in Mi🍌c๊rosoft Excel.
To get starteওd, set♛ up the following in an Excel spreadsheet:
- Enter "stock price" into cell A2
- Next, enter "current dividend" into cell A3.
- Then, enter the "expected dividend in one year" into cell A4.
- In cell A5, enter "constant growth rate."
- Enter "Required Rate of Return" in cell A6.
For example, suppose you are looking at stock ABC and want to figure out the intrinsic value of it. Assume y🌊ou know the growth rate in dividends and also know the value of the current dividend.
The current dividend is $0.60 per share, the constant 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:growth rate is 6%, and your required ꧑rate of return is 22%.𓃲
To determine the intrinsic value, plug the values from the example above i💃nto Excel as fol🉐lows:
- Enter $0.60 into cell B3.
- Enter 6% into cell B5.
- Enter 22% into cell B6.
- Now, you need to find the expected dividend in one year. In cell B4, enter "=B3*(1+B5)," which gives you 0.64 for the expected dividend, one year from the present day.
- Finally, you can now find the value of the intrinsic price of the stock. In cell B2, enter "=B4/(B6-B5)."
The current intrinsic value of the s𒀰tock ABC in this example is $3.98 per share.