The dividend growth rate is the annualized percentage rate of growth that a particular stock's dividend undergoes over a period of time. Many mature companies seek to increase the dividends paid to their investors on a regular basis. Knowing the dividend growth rate is a key input for stock valuation models known as 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:dividend discount models.

Understanding the Dividend Growth Rate

Being able to calculate the dividend growth rate is necessary for using the dividend discount model. The dividend discount model is a type of 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:security-pricing model. The dividend discount model assumes that the estimated future dividends—discounted by the excess of 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:internal growth over the company's estimated dividend growth rate—determineꦛ a given stock's price.

If the dividend discount model procedure results in a higher number than the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:current price of a company’s shares, the model considers the stock undervalued. Investors who use the dividend discount model believe that by estimating the expected value of cash flow in the future, they can 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:find the ꦚintrinsic v👍alue of a specific stock.

A history of strong dividend growth could mean future dividend growth is likely, which can signal 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:long-term profitability for a given company. When an investor calculates the dividend growth rate, they can use any interval of time they wish. They may also calculate the dividend growth rate using the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:least squares method or by sim♛ply taking a simple annualized figure over the t🍌ime period.

How to Calculate the Dividend Growth Rate

An investor can calculate the dividend growth rate by taking an average, or geometrically for more precision. As an example of the linear method, consider the following🥀.

A company's dividend payments to its shareholders over the last five years were:

• Year 1 = $1.00
• Year 2 = $1.05
• Year 3 = $1.07
• Year 4 = $1.11
• Year 5 = $1.15

To calculate the growth from on♛e year to the next, use the following formula:

Dividend Growth= Dividend_YearX /(Dividend_{Year(X - 1)}) - 1

In the above example, the growth rates are:

• Year 1 Growth Rate = N/A
• Year 2 Growth Rate = $1.05 / $1.00 - 1 = 5%
• Year 3 Growth Rate = $1.07 / $1.05 - 1 = 1.9%
• Year 4 Growth Rate = $1.11 / $1.07 - 1 = 3.74%
• Year 5 Growth Rate = $1.15 / $1.11 - 1 = 3.6%

The average of these four annual growth rates is 3.56%. To confirm this is correct, use the fo๊llowing calculation:

$1 x (1 + 3.56%)⁴ = $1.15

Example: Dividend Growth and Stock Valuation

To value a company’s stock, an individual can use the divid🐭end discount model (DDM). The dividend discount model is based on the idea that a stoꦜck is worth the sum of its future payments to shareholders, discounted back to the present day.

The simplest dividend discount model, known as the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Gordon Growth Model (GGM)'s formula is:

$\begin{aligned} &P = \frac{ D_1 }{ r - g } \\ &\textbf{where:} \\ &P = \text{Current stock price} \\ &g = \text{Constant growth rate expected for} \\ &\text{dividends, in perpetuity} \\ &r = \text{Constant cost of equity capital for the} \\ &\text{company (or rate of return)} \\ &D_1 = \text{Value of next year's dividends} \\ \end{aligned}$​P=r−gD1​​where:P=Current stock priceg=Constan🌺t growth rate expected&nb💎sp;fordividends, in perpetuityr=Constant cost of equity capital&ꦑnbsp;for thecompany (or rate of return)D1​=Value of n🎀ext year’s dividends​

In the𓄧 above example, if we assume next year's dividend will b♒e $1.18 and the cost of equity capital is 8%, the stock's current price per share calculates as follows:

P = $1.18 / (8% - 3.56%) = $26.58.

The Bottom Line

Dividends can be a great boon to investor portfolios, providing a regular stream of income, which can be particularly beneficial when a stock hasn't witnessed much appreciation. Understanding how a company views its dividend payments and how the dividend's growth has been, can help investors make wise investment decisions. Utilizing the dividend growth rate calculation can help with these investment decisions.