Key Takeaways
- Consumer confidence increased 12.3 points in May to 98.0, the first time in five months that the closely followed survey of public attitudes on the economy improved.
- The improved reading comes after President Donald Trump temporarily paused massive tariffs on China.
- While inflation expectations dropped, economists warned that future price shocks could still undermine public confidence in the economy.
A temporary truce in the trade war between the U.S. and Chi🌞na was a big relief🌠 for consumers, who said they felt more confident in May for the first time in five months.
The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence survey increased by 12.3 points in May to 98.0, halting a slide. Public attitudes about the economy soured so far this year as President Donald Trump began announcing a wide-ranging set of tariffs. The jump surprised economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal and Dow Jones Newswires, who forecast only a slight improvement from 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:April’s reading of 85.7.
The 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:May 12 announcement of a temporary reduction in 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:tariffs between the U.S. and China drove the rebound in consumers' outlook. For now, import taxes on goods from China 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:are set at 30%, down from the 145% President Trump had ℱset earlier this year. China also reduced iไts tariffs on U.S. products in exchange. Trump said the tariff truce would last for 90 days while the two sides negotiate.
“This rebound is a welcome step in the right direction, but like the deal with China, it may prove only a temporary reprieve until we get long-term clarity on trade policy,” wrote Wells Fargo economists Tim Quinlan and Jeremiah Kohl.
Consumer Expectati꧑ons Rise, But Inflatioඣn Threats Remain
Consumers’ expectations for🉐 income, business and labor market conditions in the near term surged higher to 72.8, but still remained below the threshold of 80 that can often signal a recession is near.
“Consumers were less pessimistic about🌃 business conditions and job availability over the next six m🤡onths and regained optimism about future income prospects,” said Stephanie Guichard, senior economist for global indicators at The Conference Board.
The survey found that May’s rebound covered all age, income and political groups. It also showed that consumers are less worried about price increases due to tariffs, as year-ahead inflatiꦐon expectations dropped to 6.5%. However, economists warned that inflation from tariffs is stil🔯l likely and could further chip away at consumer confidence in the future.
“Americans have reason to be happy given the rollback in tariffs, especially with China,” wrote Navy Federal Credit Union economist Robert Frick. “But when prices start rising from existing tariffs in a month or two, it will be a sobering reminder that a new inflation fight has just begun."