澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网

How to Recognize Sunk Costs

A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).

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Sunk costs refer to expenses that have already been incurred and cannot be recovered. In instances where sunk costs continue to influence either personal or business decisions (or both), investors may be falling prey to the "sunk cost fallacy," a psychological phenomenon that ties people to past, unsuccessful endeavors simply because they've already committed resources to it. The common sense principle behind this fallacy is this: Just because you've spent money on something up to a point, there's no reason to keep spending money on it—especially if the chances of recovering your investment are doubtful.

Key Takeaways

  • Sunk costs are expenses that have already been incurred and cannot be recovered.
  • Sunk costs may influence both personal and business decisions despite their irrelevance to future choices.
  • The sunk cost dilemma exemplifies the conflict between continuing to invest in a failing project or investment versus cutting losses.
  • Rational decision-making should focus on future costs and benefits rather than past expenditures, as considering sunk costs can lead to further losses and poor choices.

What Is a Sunk Cost?

A sunk cost is defined as "a cost that has already been incurred and thus cannot be recovered. A sunk cost differs from other, future costs that a business may face, such as inventory costs or R&D expenses, because it has already happened. Sunk costs are independent of any event that may occur in the future."

Businesses with the highest sunk costs tend to be those with the greatest barriers to entry and the biggest 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:startup costs. These would include capital-intensive industries that require large buildings, expensive tooling, and a high ratio of fixed to variable costs. I✃n fact, the level of sunk cost is a major barrier to entry for many of these businesses.

The concept is simple, but sunk cost plays a major role in many personal and business decisions. It's important to have a decision-making strategy when confronted with the need to spend more money when the recoupment of the sunk cost may be in jeopardy.

Note

The sunk cost fallacy is a common trap in ma♏ny fields, from business investments to personal relationships, leading people to cling to losses instead of allocating resources to more promising opportunities.

Sunk Cost Dilemma

The best way to illustrate this concept is with an example that has played out many times over the past several years. You're a homebuilder 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:during the bubble and you've started work on 20 spec homes in a 🌃small development. You've cleared the land, prepped the home sites, and brought in power, water, and𒆙 sewer.

Halfway through the construction of the homes, the real estateꦏ market starts to crash. Do you keep working and finish the construction, hoping that the market will soon improve? Or, do you stop work and save tꦦhe money you would have spent finishing all the homes?

At the point in time where you make this decision, everything you've spent so far is sunk cost. In this case, it's a considerable amount of money, and it may be painfully difficult to walk away. If you do, that money is lost forever.

If you don't, you run the risk of spending even more money that you'll never recover if economic conditions don't improve fast enough. The dilemma can be framed as one of certain loss versus uncertain success. The 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:sunk cost dilemma is not resolved as long as the project is neither co🤡mpleted nor stopped.

Financial Aspects

To some degree, all businesses incur sunk costs at various times. When making a decision, it's useful to compare the benefits that will accrue from each choice to the additional costs associated with each. Economists refer to this approach as "acting on the margins" because you're focusing on the relative merits of future actions.

This type of thinking should lead to the choice that provides the greatest net additional benefits, regardless of what has happened in the past. Since sunk costs will not change as a result of any choic🐷e you make, they shoul꧙d be irrelevant to your next decision.

In a financial sense, a line can be drawn between sunk costs and other costs you incur that have no immediate benefit. An example would be 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:insurance premiums that can be paid 𝓰for years and years ♓without ever making a claim.

While those premiums might be considered sunk in a personal sense, they're not, because they provide you with a continuing benefit by protecting you from potential losses. The fact that you were lucky enough not to need the insurance doesn't mean the money was wasted.

What Is an Example of a Sunk Cost?

Imagine you've invested $50,000 in starting a restaurant. After a year of operating, the business is consistently losing money and is unlikely to become profitable due to a saturated market and poor location. Despite these losses, you feel compelled to keep the restaurant open because of the initial investment. The $50,000 spent on renovations, equipment, and marketing is a sunk cost; it cannot be recovered. The decision to continue investing in the restaurant should be based on future potential and profitability rather than the money already spent.

What Is the Opposite of a Sunk Cost?

The opposite of a sunk cost is a prospective cost. Prosp༒ective costs have not yet been incurred but will be in the future. These costs can still be avoided and should be taken into consideration when making current decisions, contemplating changing course, or analyzing different opportunities.

How Do You Fix Sunk Costs?

You cannot fix sunk costs as the cost is already incurred and that spent resource♑, whether time, money, or another asset, will not be reimbursed. You can, however,๊ manage sunk costs. You can do this through a behavioral shift by not focusing on the sunk cost and rather being open to change, accepting loss, and channeling efforts to future benefits. The goal is to make objective decisions without letting past losses influence future choices.

The Bottom Line

If you bought an advance ticket to a movie and then heard from several moviegoers that it was terrible, would you still go see it if you couldn't get a refund or resell the ticket? Made on a purely economic basis, you wouldn't go because the ticket is a sunk cost.

On a psychological level though, you might believe if you don't go you won't get your money's worth. Plus, there's always the chance that you might like it.

But if you go and don't like it, you've not only wasted the cost of the ticket but a few hours of your time. You've compounded the financial loss with an opportunity loss. In a strictly economic sense, a rational person ignores sunk costs and only considers 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:variable costs when making a decision.

To do otherwise would prevent one from making a decision purely on its merits. However, this approach conflicts with the irrational human tendency to avert loss under any circumstances. Sometimes it's not worth crying over spilled milk.

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