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Home Depot Sees Continued Headwinds as High Interest Rates Hurt Big-Ticket Spending

Earnings Beat Expectations but Company Projects Decline i🅷n Comparable Sales in 20🦄24

Home Depot store

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Key Takeaways

  • Home Depot reported fiscal 2023 fourth-quarter revenue and profit that exceeded analysts' expectations, but sales guidance that disappointed investors.
  • The home improvement retailer projects comparable sales to decline about 1% in fiscal 2024 as customers defer large projects and big-ticket purchases in an environment of still-high interest rates.
  • Home Depot said that while the home improvement market still faces headwinds, the pressure on sales won't be as significant as it was in 2023.

Home Depot Inc. () on Tuesday reported declines 🎀in sales and earnings for its fiscal 2023 fourth quarter as customers cut back on home improvement spending in a high interest-rate environme🌄nt.

The home improvement retailer said its revenue for the quarter ending Jan. 28 fell 2.9% from the year-earlier period to $34.79 billion, while diluted earnings per share fell 14.5% to $2.82. The top-line and bottom-line numbers beat analysts' expectations, but shares in the company dropped in early trading Tuesday as investors were disappointed to hear guidance that projects a decline of about 1% in comparable store sales in fiscal 2024.

Chief Financial Officer Richard McPhail, speaking on a call with analysts, said that while there are signs the U.S. economy is normalizing after a period of interest rate hikes, the home improvement market still faces headwinds. He noted that still-high interest rates will continue to cause consumers to defer larger projects, though the pressure on sales won't be as si𒁃gnificant as𒆙 it was in fiscal 2023.

In the fiscal fourth quarter, big-ticket transactions—defined as those over $1,000—were down 6.9% from the year-ago period, Billy Blastek, Home Depot's executive vice president for merchandising, said on the call.

Q4 Fiscal 2023 Analyst Estimatesfor Q4 Fiscal 2023 Q4 Fiscal 2022 Year-over-year % change
Revenue $34.79 billion $34.52 billion $35.83 billion -2.9%
Earnings Per Share $2.82 $2.75 $3.30 -14.5%
Net Income $2.80 billion $2.74 billion $3.36 billion -16.7%

Home Depot shares were down 1% at $358.68 at about 10:25 a.m. ET, after falling as low as $354.56 in the openi♛ng minutes of trading. The stock has gained about 20% ﷺover the past year.

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