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Homebuilders See Sunnier Outlook, Lower Mortgage Rates in 2025

Construction continues in the Village of Rienda in Rancho Mission Viejo in unincorporated Orange County, California, in September 2024

 Paul Bersebach / MediaNews Group / Oranꩲge County Register vi𝓀a Getty Images

Key Takeaways

  • An index measuring homebuilder confidence edged up in October, with a subindex that measures the outlook for the future climbing further into positive territory.
  • Homebuilders are banking on lower interest rates to make homebuying more affordable in the coming months, bringing priced-out buyers off the sidelines.
  • The presidential election could influence how many homes are built in coming years, as both candidates have promised to make the market more affordable with different approaches.

It's hard to afford a house these days, but the nation's homebuilders are growing more hopeful that lower mortgage rates will drive down costs and bring priced-out buyers off the sidelines.

An index measuring how 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:homebuilders feel about the short-term prospects of the market rose to a four-month high in October, the National Association of Home Builders said Thursday. The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, based on surveys of builders, remained in pessimistic territory at 43, up from 41 in September but still below the level of 50 that would indicate optimism.

However, builders saw better prospects for sales of new 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:single-family homes in the next six months, according to a subindex that rose to 57 from 53 in September, reaching the highest since April.

Builders expect more buyers to enter the market in the coming months as the Federal Reserve lowers its benchmark 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:interest rate, which could put downward pressure on mortgage rates. In September, 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:the Fed began to roll back interest rates as consumer price increases have fallen back toward 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:pre-pandemic rates.

'Uneven' Mortgage-Rate Decline Seen Improving Housing Demand


“Despite the beginning of the Fed’s easing cycle, many prospective home buyers remain on the sideline waiting for lower interꦫest rates,” NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz said in a press release.

“We are forecasting uneven declines for mortgage interest ♋rates in the coꩵming quarters, which will improve housing demand but place stress on building lot supplies due to tight lending conditions for development and construction loans.”

The outlook for homebuilding could also be affected by the presidential election, with both candidates proposing policies that 💯could shake up the housing market.

Kamala 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Harris has proposed using federal funds to encourage the construction of 3 million affordable homes and create a $25,000 tax credit for first-time buyers. Some economists have criticized the tax credit, predicting it would add fuel to already hot housing prices.

Trump has proposed deporting millions of illegal immigrants, which could reduce the demand for existing housing. However, homebuilders say this would 🧸澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:decimate the homebuilding workforce and worsen the country’s longstan🙈ding housing shortage in the ꧑long run.

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  1. National Association of Home Builders. "."

  2. National Association of Home Builders. "." (Download Table 1.)

  3. The Independent Institute. "."

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