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Shoppers Could See Lower Prices This Holiday Season

A customer shops for holiday gifts in a Target store on December 21, 2023 in Austin, Texas.

Brandon Bell/Getty Images

Key Takeaways

  • The National Retail Federation is projecting between 2.5% and 3.5% more in sales this holiday season as consumers take advantage of lower prices.
  • Prices for goods have moved lower throughout the year and were down nearly 1% in August.  
  • The retailers ' association said stores have cut prices on “thousands and thousands of items” and will offer more promotions to boost sales.

With the holiday shoppi🐭ng season coming soon, consumers may be surprised to seeဣ something they haven’t experienced in a while: lower prices.

In laying out projections for the 2024 holiday season, National Retail Federation (NRF) President and Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Matthew Shay said prices have moved lower this year for many items and categories, giving consumers a reprieve after facing 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:sky-high inflation for the past several ye♍ars.

“There's been real 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:deflation in the cost of goods, and so many retailers have cut prices on thousands of items,” Shay said.  “You can think of a couple of big retailers with national, if not global, footprints, who have literally cut their prices on thousands and thousands of items and SKUs (澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:stock-keeping units) across the whole store.”

The NRF thinks the lower-price environment will help store owners with sales. The organization representing 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:retailers projects an increase in holiday spending of between 2.5% and 3.5% compared with 2023 totals.

Deflation Coming to a Store Near You

Inflation has slowed across the economy in a process economists call “澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:disinflation." That means prices are still moving h🔯igher at a slo🐷wer rate.

However, prices have retreated for individual items, potentially offering shoppers lower pr🍎ices than they paid last year, Shay said. 

Data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) monthly 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Personal Consumption Expenditures (P🐭CE) report on inflation shows this trend. While prices for food and services 澳洲幸运5官方🉐开奖结果体彩网:continue to rise at an elevated pace, prices for goods have either been less or par with prices from last year for each month in 2024. In August, prices for goods were almost 1% lower than the same month in the prior year.

Sꦆhay said retailers 𝔉will likely offer more targeted promotions during the holiday season, driving prices lower.

“I think it will be more targeted and personalized to individual consumers based on needs and interests, and I think it will be broader, across more brands and across more categories than we experienced a year ago,” Shay said.

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  1. National Retail Federation. “.”

  2. U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis via the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. "."

  3. Bureau of Economic Analysis. “.”

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