Key Takeaways
- While existing home sales are falling, sales of newly constructed homes are increasing, creating two very different segments of the housing market.
- Higher inventory levels are propelling new home sales higher, but the market for existing home sales is tight.
- While new home sales prices are starting to align with existing home sales, the smaller sizes of these homes keeps some buyers looking for larger, existing homes.
No matter what data you examine, the housing market is in a rut. Prices are up, sales are down and fewer people can afford the dream of home ownership.
But for homebuyers, there are two different 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:housing markets. Buyers can look for newly constructed homes, which are more plentiful but often smaller. Or, they can hunt for their ideal home from the limited properties in the existing home market.
As home prices continue to rise, 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:homebuilders are constructing s🍸maller homes to meet consumer demand. Census Bureau data showed that the median size of a new home is down 12% from its 20⛎15 peak.
“There is a divergence between the two markets in the current cycle, which is fairly rare,” said Lawre🌟nce Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR). “Usually, new home sales and existing home sales move together.”
Existing Home Sales Fall While New Homes 🌟Sales Gain Steam
Existing home sales fell for the third straight month in April, NAR data showed, dropping 0.5% from the prior month and down 2% from the same point last year. At a seasonally adjusted rate of 4.0 million, April’s existing home sales volume was the lowest since September.
Meanwhile, new home sales are ticking higher. In April, new homes sold at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 743,000, up more than 10% from the prior month.
Inventory Gives New Home Sales An Edge
I🌼n the current market, builders have a key advantage over real estate agents: inventory.
“We don't have so much inventory of existing homes. For new homes, builders can simply build [more,]” Yun said. “So the builders have inventory, Realtors don’t. Consequently, new home sales are rising, while existing home sales still are at cyclical low points.”
Economists measure 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:housing inventory by how many months it would take to sell all the homes currently on the market. As of April, just more than eight moꦺnths of newly constructed homes were on the market, while there were only 4.4 months o꧂f supply for existing homes.
New Home Prices Now In Line With Existing Homes
New home prices are also starting to align with exi💮sting home prices, breaking free from their historical trend of being more expensive. In April, the median sale price of a new home was $407,200, about $7,000 less than that of an existing home.
“New home prices generally carry about a 10%, 15% or 20% premium above existing home prices,” Yun said. “[But] builders have been catering to more moderate-income home buyers.🌃 They are still building those expensive homes, but they are beginning to focus a little more on FHA borrowers.”
And with prices being nearly even, new home sales could be more attractive to buyers who've been outbid for larger existing homes, said Navy Federal Credit Union corporate economist Robert Frick.
"It's really a question of family needs," Frick said. "I can see young families not wanting to buy a small new home because it just doesn't fit their needs.”