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JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon Says U.S. Stocks Are 'Kind of Inflated'

Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., at the Institute of International Finance (IIF) during the annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank in Washington, DC.

Kent Nishimura / Bloomberg via Getty Images

Key Takeaways

  • JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon on Wednesday said the U.S. stock market was "kind of inflated," one of the reasons he's less optimistic than some of his peers about the economic outlook.
  • President Donald Trump on Monday inherited the most expensive stock market in U.S. history, as measured by the Shiller P/E ratio.
  • Dimon said geopolitics and government deficits were two more reasons he was concerned, and argued pro-growth policies offered governments the only way out of burdensome debt.

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon on Wednesday said the U.S. stock market is overvalued and explained why he’s a little more pessimistic about the global eco♏nomy than your average Wall Street insider.

“Asset prices are kind of inflated,” Dimon told CNBC’s Andrew Ross Sorkin in an interview at the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. (“I’m talking about the ൩U.S. stock market,” he added✤, “it’s not true for stock markets around the world.”)

U.S. stocks were some of the world’s top performers last year after soaring the prior year as well. The outperformance has been driven by years of a strong U.S. economy, underpinned by a 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:resilient labor market and consumer spending, inꦑ the face of elevated interest rates.

Wall Street generally expects the U.S. to continue to outperform this year, thanks in part to the animal spirits expected to be unleashed by President Donald Trump’s deregulation and tax-cutting plans. Dimon, asked Wednesday why he’s “cautiously pessimis🤪tic” rather than “cautiously optimistic” about the economic outlook, pointed to elevated asset vꦺalues.

“You need really good outcomes to justify those prices,” he said. "Having pro-growth strategies helps make that happen, but there are negatives out there and they can tend to surprise you.”

By one measure, Trump is inheriting the priciest U.S. stock market in history. According to a Wall Street Journal analysis, the stock market’s 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Shiller P/E ratio on the day of Trump’s second inauguration was 44% higher than at the start of Herbert Hoover’s inauguration just months before the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Stock Market Crash of 1929 and the onset of the Great Depression.

Dimon's concerns extended beyond stock valuations. 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Echoing statements made last week in JPMorgan's quarterly earnings report, he said he was worried about the long-termꦿ risks of bubbling geopolitical tension in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. Global sovereign finances, he said, were another cause for concern.

"What I’m a little cautious about is the deficit spending," he said. "It’s a global issue, not just an American issue. And the related 'Will inflation go away?' I'm not so sure."

Dimon seemed to voice support for the Trump administration's promise to 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:cut government expenses and s🥀lash regulations. "Growth is the only real solution ♋to reduce these deficits, to reduce debt," he said.

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