UPDATE—Oct. 17, 2024: This article has been updated to reflect more recent analysts' estimates for subscriber growth.
Key Takeaways
- Netflix is set to report third-quarter earnings after the bell Thursday, with analysts expecting revenue, profit, and subscriber figures to have grown from a year ago.
- Netflix will stop reporting subscriber data in 2025, as it says revenue and other financial metrics are better performance indicators.
- The streaming giant has an important fourth quarter coming up, as its push into live events continues with its first NFL games.
Netflix (NFLX) reports third-quarter earnings Thursday, and analysts expect the streaming giant to post year-over-year revenue, profit, and subscriber growth ahead of the final quarter of 2024.
Analysts polled by Visible Alpha project that Netflix will report 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:net income of $2.24 billion on revenue of $9.77 billion, up 33% and 14%, respectively, from a year earlier. Shares have gained nearly 45% since the start of the year, but they dipped following the company's quarterly reports in April and July.
Analyst Estimates for Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q3 2023 | |
Revenue | $9.77 billion | $9.56 billion | $8.54 billion |
Diluted EPS | $5.12 | $4.88 | $3.73 |
Net Income | $2.24 billion | $2.15 billion | $1.68 billion |
Key Metric: Subscriber Growth
Analysts expect Netflix to report over 282 million active subscribers at the end of the quarter, up nearly 5 million from last quarter and 35 million more than last year, according to Visible Alpha. Netflix has said it 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:will stop reporting🌱 subscriber data starting in 2025, and focus inste🉐ad on financial metrics.
Analysts have said Netflix's crackdown on password sharing has been successful in driving new subscribers. Barclays analysts, however, recently cited the "trade-offs" suggested by its pathways to future growth in downgrading the stock to "underweight" from "equal weight"—making them the only analysts tracked by Visible Alpha with a 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:"sell"-equivalent rating—while leaving unchanged a 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:price target of $550.
Business Spotlight: Upcoming Events
Netflix has an important fourth quarter, with KeyBanc analysts recently noting that the streamer's 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:first NFL games, which will be broadcast on Christmas Day, could be a catalyst for subscriber growth. The analysts, who raised their price target to $760 from $735, said nearly a quarter of people they surveyed who aren't Netflix subscribers said the games would make them consider signing up.
The Christmas games are the latest bet on live sports from 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Netflix and other streamers as a way to draw new subscribers. Netflix is also set to become the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:official broadcaster of TKO Group's (TKO) 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:WWE professional wrestling events starting next year.
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