Key Takeaways
- The U.S. trade deficit soared by 14% in March to reach a record $140.5 billion as businesses rushed to import products ahead of President Donald Trump’s tariffs.
- The trade deficit in the first three months of this year nearly doubled compared with last year's first quarter, with imports surging by 23% over that period.
- Economists don’t expect the surge to last, as businesses will likely slow imports as they work through the surplus of accumulated inventory.
Businesses stockpiled importꦛed goods in March before Presiden🏅t Donald Trump’s tariffs took hold, new trade data showed Tuesday—but economists said the surge won’t last long.
The U.S. trade deficit soared 14% to reach $140.5 billion in March, the highest level ever recorded, according to Bureau of Economic Analysis and Census Bureau data. The tradeജ deficit near♎ly doubled in the first quarter compared to the same time last year.
Increased imports drove the surge, as businesses stocked up on fo𒆙reign goods before tariffs took effect, economists said.
“Even coming after large increases in the preceding months, the March deficit jumped amid a rapid stocking up ܫof high-value consumer goods, most notably pharmaceutical preparations,” wrote Moody’s Analytics Economist Mark Hopkins.
Trade Deficit E🍸xpected to Fall Once Tariffs Are Felt
Economists anticipated the jump after preliminary data earlier this month initially indicated that 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:imports were surging.
Following up on 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:his campaign promise, Trump has instituted a 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:series of tariffs on foreign imports, which are expected to push inflation higher and 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:weaken U.S. trade. Many U.S. tariffs weren’t scheduled to take effect until April, and some were postponed until even later as 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:negotiations take place.
“This gives businesses a bit more time to get product in ahead of tariffs, and suggests we may see a last-ditch effort in the April data. But beyond that, we expect trade to slow materially,” wrote Wells Fargo economists Shannon Grein and Tim Quinlan.
Because of the timing of tariffs, economists expect the trade deficit to drop si𝐆gnificantly in the upcoming months.
“Even if tariffs are rolled back significantly in the weeks or months ahead, the large front-running that has occurred means businesses won’t need to source as much product as they unwind inventory,” the Wells Fargo note said.